The US Election result could spell trouble for UK defence and NATO

Donald Trump is angry and, Democrats fear, out for revenge. His return to power could be a disaster for Ukraine, far-right violence and global political instability

Hello and welcome to Hostile World with Chris Hughes, a weekly newsletter about the world of defence and geopolitics. You can subscribe here and follow me on Twitter @defencechris. Thank you!

Republican candidate Donald Trump and US Vice President & Democratic candidate Kamala Harris

A Trump presidency would spell difficulty for UK defence as he could pile pressure on us and the rest of NATO regarding Ukraine and the threat from Russia. At the very worst he may want to leave NATO and he has indicated he would offer less support to Ukraine against Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion.

It is likely we may be under pressure to provide more support to Ukraine and other NATO countries than we would if Harris wins the election. In my view a Harris victory would be more stable for the world but the Biden administration’s full-support of Israel’s wars in Gaza and Lebanon could put the UK under another pressure.

Harris and Trump have both appeared at rallies throughout their campaigns

I believe a Harris win would be better for UK defence and global stability, but it may spell some trouble for the UK as far as securing ourselves against terrorism. The UK’s material support for Israel, along with that of the BIden administration, has attracted the attention of anti-Israeli militants but a Trump win would probably be even worse.

Many right-wingers believe a Trump win will be better for global security but I believe they are wrong - Harris means greater stability, less bellicose threats and a more certain future.

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Let me know your thoughts in the comments and see you next week,

Chris

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